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Having a strong opinion about an issue can make it hard to take in new information about it, or to consider other options when they ;re presented. Thankfully, theres an old rule that can help us avoid this problem 鈥?and even help us make good decisions when were uncertain. Heres how Bayesian Reasoning works, and why it can make you a better thinker. To find out more about this topic, we spoke to mathematician Spencer Greenberg, co-founder of Rebellion Research and a contributing member of AskAMathematician where he answers questions on math and physics. He has also created a free Bayesian thinking module that available online. Bayes Rule is derived from a mathematic stanley website al formula, but as we learned from Greenberg, you dont need to know the equation or do fancy math to apply Bayess principle to daily life. Its usually not that useful writing out Bayess equation, he told io9. And in fact, in order for this line of thinking to be useful in day to day life, you have to be able to think about it without having to sit down and write out a formula. Fortunately, says Greenberg, there is a way to do that. The Power of Probabilistic Reasoning Bayess Rule is a theorem in probability theory that answers the question, When you encounter new information, how much should it change your confidence in a belief 8 stanley thermos 221; Its essentially about making decisions under uncertainty, and how we should update or revise our theories as new evidence emerges. It can also be use stanley flasche d to Oatw These Solar-Powered, Floating Island Homes Are a Millionaire s Private Paradise
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